A prediction market is a market where users trade based on the outcomes of future events. Users choose the outcome they believe will happen and use USDT to buy the corresponding direction. If the prediction is correct, they may earn returns; if the prediction is wrong, they may lose the principal invested.
Taking a football match as an example, the platform may provide options such as “Home Team Win / Draw / Away Team Win.” Users can choose the result they believe is more likely to happen and invest a certain amount to participate.
Unlike traditional betting, prices in prediction markets change continuously based on market trading and event progress. This means users do not necessarily have to wait until the match ends to know their profit or loss. In some markets, users may also sell before the event ends based on real-time prices to take profit or stop loss.
1.Understand 3 Core Concepts Before Participating
(1) Price represents market expectations
In prediction markets, the price of an outcome can be understood as the market’s current judgment of the likelihood that the outcome will occur.
For example, the higher the price of an outcome, the more likely the market currently believes it is to occur; the lower the price, the lower the market’s perceived probability.
Please note that the price is not a platform commitment, nor is it the final result. It is only a reference formed by real-time market trading.
(2) What you buy is “outcome shares”
When participating in prediction markets, users are not simply placing an order with fixed odds. Instead, they are buying shares in a specific outcome direction.
If the selected outcome is ultimately valid, the system will settle according to the platform rules; if the outcome is not valid, the shares held in that direction may become zero.
(3) Profit and loss may fluctuate with market changes
Before the event ends, outcome prices may fluctuate due to match developments, market sentiment, trading depth, buying and selling demand, and other factors.
Therefore, unrealized profit or loss on positions will also change in real time. Beginners are advised not to focus only on the final result, but also to pay attention to the current price and their own risk tolerance.
2.How to Participate in Prediction Markets?
Step 1: Enter the Event Prediction Page
Open the platform homepage and click the “Event Prediction” button in the activity entrance to enter the Event Prediction activity page.
Step 2: Understand Each Gameplay Type
After entering the Event Prediction page, click the asset button in the upper right corner.
The system will display an asset menu where you can view: prediction account assets, total earnings, fund records, asset summary, my orders, gameplay instructions, and other information.
Click Gameplay Instructions to learn about each football prediction gameplay type.
Step 3: Check Prediction Account Assets
Click the asset button in the upper right corner.
If the prediction account balance is 0, you need to click “Transfer” first and transfer available funds to the prediction account before participating.
Step 4: Select the Event You Want to Participate In
Taking World Cup predictions as an example:
Brazil VS Japan
After entering the match page, there are multiple prediction gameplay types, such as Match Result, Handicap, Over/Under, Exact Score, etc.
Beginners are advised to start with the easiest gameplay type to understand, such as Match Result:
Home Team Win: You believe the home team will win
Draw: You believe both sides will end in a draw
Away Team Win: You believe the away team will win
Step 5: Choose a Prediction Direction to Participate
After finding the outcome direction you want to participate in, click the corresponding option.
For example, if you believe the away team will win, click “Away Team Win.”
After clicking, the system will enter the order page and display the selected match, prediction direction, price, available balance, and other information.
Enter the amount you want to participate with on the order page.
Beginners are advised to use a small amount for their first participation to become familiar with the full process. It is not recommended to invest too much at the beginning.
Step 6: Confirm the Order
Confirm the following information: match name, prediction direction, investment amount, and current price. After confirming everything is correct, click “Place Bet.”
After the order is submitted, the system will execute the transaction based on the real-time price. The actual execution result may be affected by market price changes, order book depth, or slippage.
Step 7: How to View Fund Records and Order Summary?
After placing an order, return to the main Event Prediction page and click the asset button in the upper right corner again.
In the pop-up menu, you can view:
Fund Records: View records of fund changes such as transfers, orders, and settlements. Asset Summary: View prediction account balance, available balance, total bets, total profit and loss, and other information. My Orders: View prediction orders, positions, profit and loss, and settlement status.
If you want to view the details of a specific order, go to the My Orders page and click the corresponding order to view details.
Step 8: How to View the Analysis Dashboard?
On the order details page, click “Analysis Dashboard” to view analysis information for the current match or event.
The Analysis Dashboard is usually used to help you understand: current match status, event start and end times, current position direction, historical positions or order records, score trends or event progress, settlement reasons, or score reversal records.
Please note that the Analysis Dashboard is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. The final result shall still be subject to the official match result and settlement rules adopted by the platform.
3. Risk Reminder
Prediction markets involve certain risks. Please make sure you understand the following before participating:
(1) Price fluctuation and transaction risks. Prediction market prices may be affected by event progress, market supply and demand, user trading behavior, liquidity changes, and other factors. A price increase does not necessarily mean the outcome will win, and a price decrease does not necessarily mean the outcome will lose. Due to market fluctuations, order book depth, execution speed, fees, and other factors, the actual transaction price may differ from the price displayed when placing the order. The final result shall be subject to the actual transaction record in the system.
(2) Risk of principal loss. Prediction markets are risky trading products. They do not guarantee profits and are not principal-protected or fixed-income products. If the prediction direction you hold does not ultimately occur, the corresponding shares may become zero, and you may lose all the principal invested. Please participate rationally based on your own risk tolerance and use only funds you can afford to lose.
(3) Settlement shall be subject to platform rules and official results. In the event of match postponement, cancellation, interruption, score reversal, referee decision changes, official result corrections, or other special circumstances, the platform will handle the matter according to the corresponding market rules and official results. The final settlement result shall be subject to platform rules and system records.
AEGET Team
June 30, 2026
Comments
0 comments
Article is closed for comments.